Trend Analysis of Area, Production and Productivity of Banana in Anand District of Gujarat, India

Banana (Musa sp.) holds the second position in terms of significance among fruit crops in India, following mango. Gujarat is ranked second and third in the production and productivity of banana respectively. This research aimed to examine the patterns in the cultivation area, production, and productivity of banana in Anand district, Gujarat. Secondary time series data spanning 16 years (from 2005-06 to 2020-21) were utilized for this analysis, sourced from the Directorate of Horticulture, Gujarat. Eight distinct linear and non-linear models were applied, and the most suitable model was chosen based on the highest adjusted R2 and the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) values. The findings indicated that the cubic model demonstrated the best fit for depicting the trends in the area, production, and productivity of banana in Anand district, Gujarat. The study concluded that the cultivation area and production exhibited fluctuating trends, while productivity displayed a consistent upward trend throughout the analyzed period.